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Global fab equipment spending promises to crawl out of a gloomy 2019 and see a modest recovery this year before a sharp uptick drives record investments in 2021 in a vivid display of the decades-old cyclicality playing out in the semiconductor industry.

Compared to the first half of 2019, the second half smacks of a recovery, with fab equipment spending revised upward to show a stronger 2019 overall in the latest update of the World Fab Forecast report, published by SEMI.

After a downturn in 2019, investments in new fab projects starting construction is expect to jump US$12 billion to nearly US$50 billion in 2020, with China accounting for the bulk of the investments, according to the latest update of the World Fab Forecast from SEMI.

The December 2018 edition of the World Fab Forecast Report published by SEMI reveals a downward revision of total fab equipment spending growth for 2018 to 10% from the 14% forecast in August. Spending in 2019 is now projected to drop 8%, a reversal from the previously expected increase of 7%.