semiconductor manufacturing

Vacuum pumps, pressure gauges, and vacuum valves combined make up the biggest expense on the bill of materials for semiconductor OEMs. The semiconductor industry consumed almost $2.7 billion worth of vacuum subsystems in 2020, with over 60% supplied by vendors based in Europe.

Global fab equipment spending promises to crawl out of a gloomy 2019 and see a modest recovery this year before a sharp uptick drives record investments in 2021 in a vivid display of the decades-old cyclicality playing out in the semiconductor industry.

The recent anti-globalization political rhetoric raises a number of challenges for the semiconductor supply chain. Throughout the ongoing US-China trade war, and now the dispute between South Korea and Japan, most attention has focused on the consequences for players at the top of the supply chain.

The December 2018 edition of the World Fab Forecast Report published by SEMI reveals a downward revision of total fab equipment spending growth for 2018 to 10% from the 14% forecast in August. Spending in 2019 is now projected to drop 8%, a reversal from the previously expected increase of 7%.

Now that most companies in our sector analyses have reported their calendar third quarter 2018 financial results, we have final or 3Q’18/2Q’17 growth estimates for the world electronic supply chain. We estimate electronic equipment grew 6.7% on a U.S. dollar-denominated basis.

Global fab equipment spending will increase 14% this year to US$62.8B and is expected to rise 7.5%, to US$67.5B in 2019, marking the highest investment year for fab equipment in the history of the industry, according to SEMI's latest World Fab Forecast Report.

World manufacturing growth has slowed but its growth rate varies significantly by region. Recently China and Europe have registered slower growth but U.S. growth is expanding. How long U.S. manufacturing will continue to accelerate remains to be seen. Geopolitical issues abound.