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Publication Date:

Principal Analysts:

Christian Gregor Dieseldorff, SEMI
Chih-Wen Liu, SEMI


Microsoft® Excel® file (.xls)
200mm Fab Outlook to 2026 1Q23 Update

Highlights for SEMI Website published March 27, 2023.

  1. Fab equipment spending is expected to decline by about 40% in 2023. However, recovery and long-term growth in 2024 (8% YoY), 2025 (29%), and 2026  (12%) are expected.
  2. Installed 200mm Fab capacity (excluding EPI) is expected to drop from 6% (YoY) in 2022 to 3% in 2023 and shows steady growth in lower single digits through 2026.
  3. The industry is adding more 200mm fabs/lines. It is expected to start the operation of 20 new volume fabs/lines by 2026. The number is slightly higher if low-probability fabs/lines are included.


The ‘200mm Fab Outlook to 2026’ tracks worldwide more than 330 fabs and lines by over 150 companies and organizations. This report provides insight to current business activity in 200mm manufacturing and informs business planning and investment.

Since the last update on September 2022, the Market Intelligence Team at SEMI has done 120 changes on 84 fabs and lines, including adding 15 new records.

**Multi-user and Enterprise licenses must be purchased when more than 1 user accesses SEMI reports/databases**


Product Information


  • Twelve-year report with quarterly forecast data to 2026
  • High-level summaries, tables, charts, and graphs for presentations
  • Investment data in construction and equipment by companies
  • Fab capacity, plans, technology, and products
  • Fab status includes fab closures, transactions, and wafer size conversions


  • Access current and credible data on worldwide 200mm fabs, including China.
  • Gain insight into up-to-date analysis with validated data on investment and expansion plans transactions. 
  • Great resource to improve investment strategies, business planning, and competitive intelligence. 
  • Access to benchmark data used by financials institutions, industry experts, and top-tier companies worldwide. 


The information for the fab reports and forecasts is compiled from various sources in the industry including publicly available information such as capital spending plans, fab plans, ramp schedules, and technology roadmaps.

Source data are verified across an extensive network of industry contacts. These data are used in modeling for each company and facility, incorporating various economic indicators and best educated estimates.

The report uses a bottom-up approach, tracking projects per cleanroom facility but uses also a top down analysis by company, region, and industry segment.

Content details include capital expenditure for construction and equipment, capacities, technologies used, product types, and wafer sizes.


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