Walt Custer

Global business conditions continued to improve through October although the rate of improvement slowed a bit as pandemic concerns increased (Chart 1).Electronic Equipment Shipments RecoveringThird-quarter world electronic equipment shipment growth showed a big improvement over the second quarter...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) just raised its regional GDP growth forecasts. For the world it predicts a 4.4% global GDP decline this year followed by a 5.2% expansion next year. This economic turnaround hinges on being guided by good science, political leadership and popular acceptance.

All countries and regions have seen a sharp manufacturing slowdown. China, hit hard in February, recovered in March and then dipped in slightly but the balance of the world saw manufacturing plunge in April as COVID-19 forced factory closures. Unemployment skyrocketed and GDPs plunged.

With all major global electronic equipment OEMs having now reported their third quarter financials, we estimate that combined equipment sales increased 0.4 percent in 3Q’19 versus 3Q’18 and 2 percent sequentially from the second versus the third quarter of this year.

There is a glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel. But most electronic industry time series will likely struggle at least though autumn.